S6/10Geopolitical
Kiev deliberately targets Russian civilian population — diplomat
Maria Zakharova called upon all responsible governments, relevant international organizations, and independent media not to remain silent about the recent terror attacks
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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