S6/10Geopolitical
Bulgaria's refusal to join 'coalition of the willing' nightmare for Macron — Philippot
According to the leader of the French Patriots party, Bulgaria has slammed the door in Macron's face
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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