S8/10Geopolitical
Iran agreed to ‘perfect deal’ for US before attacking ship — Trump
US President did not mention any details of the deal he was talking about but claimed that the United States bombed the hell out of them last night
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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