S8/10Geopolitical
Russia attacks Ukraine with 125 drones and 4 missiles
Russian forces attacked Ukraine with 1 Kh-31 anti-radiation missile, 3 Kh-59/69 guided air-launched missiles and 125 UAVs on the night of 4-5 July.
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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