S6/10Geopolitical
U . S . military renews strikes on Iran while tankers come under attack in Strait of Hormuz
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 43% model probability
Сценарии event-driven intelligence:
Horizon: 7–30 days