S6/10Geopolitical
Backed by France, Macron sees Germany as nuclear-deterrence ‘vanguard’ in Europe
A French nuclear-capable Rafale jet had been temporarily hosted at a German air base − specifically at Nörvenich near Cologne.
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Эскалация
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Horizon: 7–30 days
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