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Iran war: Look beyond stocks to understand state of economy, experts say
Yields on 10-year US Treasury bills, a bellwether for inflation, are up 60 basis points since the start of the Iran war.
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Эскалация— 30% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days