S8/10Geopolitical
Trump says US strikes hit Iran in 'honour' of American soldiers killed
Iran responded with attacks in Syria and Jordan, as two ships reportedly exploded in the Strait of Hormuz.
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 67% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days