S8/10Geopolitical
Iran was able to ‘smash’ US, Israel, despite NATO involvement in conflict — MP
Alaeddin Boroujerdi highlighted that the Americans saw it as their goal to interfere in the affairs of every independent country and bring war to it
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 64% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days