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S8/10Military
UK names Russian military personnel losses since beginning of full-scale invasion
British intelligence says 500,000 Russian soldiers have been killed since 2022, with most deaths occurring after January 2023.
Source: Ukrainska PravdaOriginal source
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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