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S9/10Geopolitical
Russia attacks Ukraine with missile and over 120 drones, air defence downs 96, hits recorded
Russia attacked Ukraine overnight with a Kh-59 missile and 121 drones, with Ukrainian air defence shooting down 96 drones and strikes recorded at 11 locations.
Source: Ukrainska PravdaOriginal source
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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