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S8/10Geopolitical
Somali piracy surges as the impact of the US-Iran war ripples outwards
Two ships were seized within four days last week raising to at least 13 the number attacked since January.
Source: BBC WorldOriginal source
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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