S6/10Geopolitical
Pentagon identifies soldier killed in controlled detonation of Iranian drone
Sgt. Michael Emmanuel Swinton, 30, was killed Saturday during the controlled detonation of unexploded ordnance from a downed Iranian one-way attack drone.
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 45% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days