S9/10Geopolitical
Iran war live: US launches new attacks; Houthis attack 2 Saudi oil tankers
US, Iran trade new threats as more explosions are reported in Iranian cities including Sirik, Ahvaz and Bushehr.
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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