S9/10Geopolitical
Iran war live: US accuses IRGC of ‘surprise’ ballistic missile attacks
US claim comes as Saudi Arabia intercepts drones and Iran warns of 'any action' to maintain its control of Hormuz.
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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