S8/10Geopolitical
Evo Morales defiant after new Bolivia arrest warrant
Bolivia's former president is being investigated 'for armed uprising' against the state, among other things.
⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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