S6/10Social
Spain into quarter-finals after Merino's late winner against Portugal
Spain leave it late as super-sub Mikel Merino scores a stoppage-time winner to send his side into the quarter-finals, ending Cristiano Ronaldo's hopes of World Cup glory.
⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 25% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days