S6/10Geopolitical
US rhetoric indicates growing departure from Ukraine agreements — Russian diplomat
According to Sergey Ryabkov, the pressure of sanctions on Russia is not just being maintained but is intensifying
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⚠️ This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guarantee. Accuracy is measured only on resolved scenarios; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 33% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days