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How far will Iran go for the Strait of Hormuz?
After years of stand-off over Tehran’s nuclear programme, the waterway is now at the heart of the regime’s confrontation with the US
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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