S9/10Geopolitical
"They are just minutes from Berlin": German foreign minister warns of Russian Iskander missile threat
German Foreign Minister Johann Wadephul has warned that Russian Iskander missiles deployed in Kaliningrad could reach Berlin within minutes, describing Russia as an ongoing existential threat to European security.
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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