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The US mounts pressure across 3 maritime flashpoints. How should China respond?

Chinese researchers have called for more coordination among the country’s maritime authorities to counter an American strategy that has put pressure on Beijing across three critical waterways in the first island chain. By synchronising operations across flashpoints in the East China Sea, the Taiwan Strait and the South China Sea, Washington’s “three seas linkage” strategy aimed to force Beijing into multi-front operations and strategic overextension, warned Yue Shengsong, an associate professor...

21 Jul 2026, 14:00 UTCSource: South China Morning PostOriginal source

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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация42% model probability

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Horizon: 7–30 days