S6/10Geopolitical
Ukrainian forces attack DPR 10 times over past day, leaving one dead and four injured
Seven attacks targeted the Gorlovka area, with one attack recorded each in the Starobeshevo, Makeyevka, and Shakhtyorsk sectors
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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