S6/10Geopolitical
Lebanon says Israeli attacks have killed 4,304 people since March
Lebanon says Israeli attacks have killed 4,304 people since March Lebanon’s Health Ministry says Israeli attacks have killed at least 4,304 people and wounded 12,203 others since 2 March.
Click a tag to subscribe via email/Telegram (manage channels in Account).
⚠️ This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guarantee. Accuracy is measured only on resolved scenarios; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 44% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days