S8/10Geopolitical
Trump ‘not sure’ he will let Ukraine build Patriot missiles
US president had earlier said he would allow the country to produce the weapon vital for its defence against Russia
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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