S8/10Geopolitical
US strikes on southern Iran infrastructure widen war
The latest US strikes on tunnels, bridges, and other infrastructure further inland from the Strait of Hormuz could indicate that Washington is shifting gears in Iran.
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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