S8/10Geopolitical
Police attack Cockroach activists as thousands march on Indian parliament
More than 10,000 protesters braved tear gas and baton charges in their largest challenge yet to PM Modi's government.
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 62% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days