S8/10Geopolitical
Intensified Ukrainian strikes on Russia to only delay peace agreement conclusion — expert
According to Vladimir Karasev, the longer the conflict escalates, the more territory the Russian Armed Forces will liberate
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⚠️ This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guarantee. Accuracy is measured only on resolved scenarios; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 53% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days