S6/10Social
Despite Sanctions, the Myanmar Government Continues to Procure High Volumes of Jet Fuel
An independent group examined official documents from Myanmar ports, leaked bank documents and open-source data to chart the network that supplies Myanmar with jet fuel.
⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 28% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days