S6/10Military
Spain deploys military to Ceuta after migrant surge: What we know
At least 34 people reported killed trying to cross into the Spanish enclave bordering Morocco.
⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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