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S8/10Geopolitical
Drone attack and strike on oil refinery reported in Russia's Leningrad Oblast
Russia's Leningrad Oblast governor reported an attack by over 60 drones and a strike on the Kirishi oil refinery.
Source: Ukrainska PravdaOriginal source
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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