S8/10Military
18 vessels redirected by US military since resumption of blockade of Iran — CENTCOM
More than 20 US ships are currently operating in the Middle East to enforce the blockade against Iran
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
Exact probability, cascade chain, and confirmation indicators unlock for approved members.
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