S6/10Geopolitical
EU may approve 21st sanctions package against Russia on July 13 — French Foreign Minister
The 21st sanctions package will deal a blow to Russia's financial sector and further reduce energy revenues, Jean-Noel Barrot said
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 41% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days