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S5/10Economic
Russia’s parallel imports total $6.3 bln in January-April — Deputy Minister
According to Roman Chekushov, parallel imports have stabilized at around $1.5 billion per month so far in 2026
Source: TASS EnglishOriginal source
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Escalation
Horizon: 7–30 days
B
Status quo
Horizon: 7–30 days
C
De-escalation
Horizon: 7–30 days
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