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S7/10Natural
7.8 magnitude earthquake leaves dozens dead in the Philippines
A powerful 7.8 magnitude earthquake struck the southern Philippines off the island of Mindanao, killing at least 32.
Source: Al JazeeraOriginal source
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Escalation
Horizon: 7–30 days
B
Status quo
Horizon: 7–30 days
C
De-escalation
Horizon: 7–30 days
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