S6/10Military
Myanmar Denies ASEAN Chair’s Request for Meeting With Aung San Suu Kyi
In late May, the military announced that it had transferred the 81-year-old former leader from prison to house arrest.
⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 45% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days