S6/10Geopolitical
Israel to join new US attacks on Iran if necessary — NYP
Accordung to the report, Israel is "not eager to go back to the day when people have to go to shelters"
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 39% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days