S6/10Geopolitical
Protest organisers call for another Saturday demonstration, demand commander-in-chief's dismissal – photo
Veteran Dmytro Koziatynskyi has called for another protest on 18 July, urging people to demand the dismissal of Commander-in-Chief Oleksandr Syrskyi and the appointment of Mykhailo Fedorov as defence minister.
⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 35% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days