S5/10Economic
IMF forecasts global trade growth of 3.5% in 2026, 4.3% in 2027
Despite the upward revision of the trade growth forecast, the report’s authors noted that global trade has slowed sharply compared to 2025
⚠️ This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guarantee. Accuracy is measured only on resolved scenarios; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 21% model probability
Сценарии event-driven intelligence:
Horizon: 7–30 days