S9/10Geopolitical
Iran war live: US launches 10th night of strikes; Tehran attacks Kuwait
Explosions reported in Iran's Bandar Abbas, Qeshm Island, Chabahar and Konarak as US launches new wave of attacks.
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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