S6/10Geopolitical

ESM sees recession if US sell - off , new MidEast war hit

06 Jul 2026, 13:45 UTCSource: rte.ieOriginal source
⚠️ This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guarantee. Accuracy is measured only on resolved scenarios; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация38% model probability

Сценарии event-driven intelligence:

Horizon: 7–30 days