S6/10Geopolitical
What is the fallout of the increasing violence in Mali?
Coalition of rebels and armed groups carries out another series of attacks.
⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 38% model probability
Сценарии: Fallout of Increasing Violence in Mali
Horizon: 7–30 days