S9/10Geopolitical
Polish defence minister accuses president's aides of lying about missiles sent to Ukraine
Polish Defence Minister Władysław Kosiniak-Kamysz has said President Karol Nawrocki was aware of the transfer of PAC-3 missiles for Patriot air defence systems to Ukraine, which contradicts claims made by members of the president's entourage.
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⚠️ This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guarantee. Accuracy is measured only on resolved scenarios; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 72% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days