S6/10Geopolitical
RSPP head warns against imposing restrictions on foreign businesses remaining in Russia
According to Alexander Shokhin, doing so would be counterproductive, including from the standpoint of economic and technological models
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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