S6/10Geopolitical
Kremlin expects Kiev's provocations on eve of NATO summit
It scheduled for July 7-8
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⚠️ This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guarantee. Accuracy is measured only on resolved scenarios; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 37% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days