S6/10Geopolitical
Gas Demand Set for First Drop Since 2022 on Iran War, IEA Says
Global gas demand is poised for the first annual drop since the 2022 energy crisis because of higher prices caused by the Iran war, according to the International Energy Agency.
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⚠️ This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guarantee. Accuracy is measured only on resolved scenarios; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 41% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days