S6/10Geopolitical
Cuba’s Population Decline Deepens With Deaths Outpacing Births
Cuba’s population collapse continued unabated last year, as births declined and people continued to flee an island that’s being crushed by an economic crisis and US sanctions.
⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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