S9/10Geopolitical
Sudan civil war: When drones strike the classroom
Children in Sudan's besieged city of el-Obeid are afraid to go to school as drone attacks hit civilian infrastructure. Aid groups warn of a worsening humanitarian crisis.
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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