S8/10Military
Ukraine purges intelligence service over failed terrorist attack against Yermolayev
According to the official, the personnel purges are fully coordinated with Vladimir Zelensky, who seeks to remove from military intelligence the people who remain loyal to former head of the department Kirill Budanov
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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