S8/10Geopolitical
Head of Zelenskyy's Office warns of new "escalatory steps" from Poland
Lieutenant General Kyrylo Budanov, Head of the Office of the President of Ukraine, believes the escalation in Ukrainian-Polish relations will peak this week, linked to Poland's National Day of Remembrance of Victims of the Volyn tragedy. [The Volyn (Volhynia) tragedy was a series of events that led to the ethnic cleansing of the Polish and Ukrainian populations in 1943 during World War II. It was part of a long-standing rivalry between Ukrainians and Poles in what is now Ukraine's west. Poland considers the Volyn tragedy a genocide of Poles – ed.]
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A
Эскалация— 64% model probability
Сценарии event-driven intelligence:
Horizon: 7–30 days