S6/10Social
Spain aim for World Cup date with France by beating Belgium
European champions Spain are on a World Cup collision course with Kylian Mbappe's France if they can beat Belgium in the quarter-finals on Friday.
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Эскалация— 29% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days